Federal-contractor M&A · leading-signal radar

Spot the next acquisition target before the banker does.

Cassandra reads public federal award history and flags the small/mid contractors whose award velocity, first big wins, hot-NAICS concentration, and set-aside graduation match the profile acquirers buy. Pattern-based, transparent, sourced.

See the rising feed → API & contractor_signals MCP

Award-velocity engine

Multi-year obligation trajectory + YoY/CAGR growth per recipient, straight from USAspending.

Acquisition-likelihood score

0–100, built from 6 leading signals — every point shows the reasoning behind it.

Rising-contractor feed

Daily-refreshed ranking of likely tuck-in / roll-up targets, with /contractor profiles.

SEC EDGAR overlay

If a name is public, we attach its ticker + recent 8-K/S-4/13D corporate-event filings.

Who buys this

M&A advisors

Sell-side / buy-side origination — find owners scaling into a sale window.

PE & search funds

GovCon roll-up sourcing — thematic targets in cyber, R&D, health IT, facilities.

Strategics / primes

Tuck-in scouting — de-risked backlog, new agency access, set-aside vehicles.

BD / corp-dev teams

Watchlist a competitor; get a webhook when its signal score moves.

How to read these scores. Cassandra computes leading-indicator signals strictly from public federal award history (USAspending.gov) and public SEC filings (EDGAR). Scores are pattern-based and probabilistic — they describe profiles that historically correlate with acquisitions and major corporate events. They are not predictions of certainty, not insider or material non-public information (MNPI), and not investment advice. Do your own diligence.

Open the rising feed Pricing & paid tiers