Contractor signal profile

AIR PRODUCTS AND CHEMICALS, INC

Acquisition-signal score 50 / 100 — Elevated signal. Pattern-based, from public award history.

Lifetime obligations

$669.5M

Velocity (YoY)

192%

Agencies served

6

Obligation trajectory

Why this score

+30
award_velocity
Award obligations are ramping fast — most-recent FY $10.8M vs prior $3.7M (192% YoY, 33% multi-yr CAGR). Rapid, proven backlog growth is the classic profile PE/strategic acquirers target.
+12
customer_diversification
Revenue spread across 6 federal agencies while growing — diversified, de-risked backlog is the #1 valuation-multiple lever in govcon M&A.
+8
target_size_band
Lifetime obligations $669.5M — squarely in the small/mid tuck-in size band acquirers shop in.

Obligation trajectory (by federal FY)

FYObligatedAwards
FY2012$203K1
FY2014$10.8M3
FY2015$43.2M2
FY2019$16.8M6
FY2020$134.8M8
FY2021$3.3M5
FY2022$2.1M9
FY2023$431.1M31
FY2024$12.7M14
FY2025$3.7M15
FY2026$10.8M6

Recent awards

StartAmountAgencyNAICS
2026-04-01$154KDepartment of Veterans Affairs325120
2026-02-10$153KDepartment of Defense325120
2025-12-31$295KDepartment of Defense325120
2025-12-29$1.9MNational Aeronautics and Space Administration325120
2025-12-12$3.8MNational Aeronautics and Space Administration325120
2025-12-04$4.5MNational Aeronautics and Space Administration325120
2025-09-29$295KDepartment of Defense325120
2025-09-15$179KNational Aeronautics and Space Administration325120

Largest single award: $352.6M from National Aeronautics and Space Administration (2022-12-01).

How to read these scores. Cassandra computes leading-indicator signals strictly from public federal award history (USAspending.gov) and public SEC filings (EDGAR). Scores are pattern-based and probabilistic — they describe profiles that historically correlate with acquisitions and major corporate events. They are not predictions of certainty, not insider or material non-public information (MNPI), and not investment advice. Do your own diligence.

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