Contractor signal profile

ANDURIL INDUSTRIES, INC.

Acquisition-signal score 52 / 100 — Elevated signal. Pattern-based, from public award history.

Lifetime obligations

$2.34B

Velocity (YoY)

3%

Agencies served

3

Obligation trajectory

Why this score

+24
award_velocity
Award obligations are ramping fast — most-recent FY $587.6M vs prior $573.3M (2% YoY, 79% multi-yr CAGR). Rapid, proven backlog growth is the classic profile PE/strategic acquirers target.
+15
recent_large_win
44 large award(s) ≥$5M in the last ~2 FYs (top: $363.0M, Department of Homeland Security). Fresh strategic wins de-risk the pipeline for an acquirer.
+5
customer_base
Serves 3 agencies — reasonable customer diversity.
+8
target_size_band
Lifetime obligations $2.34B — squarely in the small/mid tuck-in size band acquirers shop in.

Obligation trajectory (by federal FY)

FYObligatedAwards
FY2019$10.0M1
FY2020$95.6M5
FY2021$70.5M2
FY2022$192.7M10
FY2023$209.3M14
FY2024$600.2M22
FY2025$573.3M34
FY2026$587.6M12

Recent awards

StartAmountAgencyNAICS
2026-08-06$6.6MDepartment of Defense334511
2026-05-15$9.1MDepartment of Energy334511
2026-03-16$87.7MDepartment of Defense541512
2026-02-26$18.0MDepartment of Defense332994
2026-01-16$4.8MDepartment of Defense334511
2025-12-25$363.0MDepartment of Homeland Security541512
2025-12-19$19.5MDepartment of Defense332994
2025-12-11$24.0MDepartment of Defense336419

Largest single award: $363.0M from Department of Homeland Security (2025-12-25).

How to read these scores. Cassandra computes leading-indicator signals strictly from public federal award history (USAspending.gov) and public SEC filings (EDGAR). Scores are pattern-based and probabilistic — they describe profiles that historically correlate with acquisitions and major corporate events. They are not predictions of certainty, not insider or material non-public information (MNPI), and not investment advice. Do your own diligence.

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