Contractor signal profile
BAE SYSTEMS SPACE & MISSION SYSTEMS INC.
Acquisition-signal score 38 / 100 — Watch. Pattern-based, from public award history.
Lifetime obligations
$3.68B
Velocity (YoY)
-93%
Agencies served
3
Obligation trajectory
Why this score
+15
recent_large_win
4 large award(s) ≥$5M in the last ~2 FYs (top: $529.3M, Department of Defense). Fresh strategic wins de-risk the pipeline for an acquirer.
+10
hot_naics_concentration
Concentrated in a thematically hot lane: R&D — physical/engineering/life sciences (35% of awards, NAICS 541715). Roll-up sponsors buy by theme; being squarely in the lane attracts inbound.
+5
customer_base
Serves 3 agencies — reasonable customer diversity.
+8
target_size_band
Lifetime obligations $3.68B — squarely in the small/mid tuck-in size band acquirers shop in.
Obligation trajectory (by federal FY)
| FY | Obligated | Awards |
|---|---|---|
| FY2000 | $209.5M | 1 |
| FY2005 | $233.7M | 1 |
| FY2010 | $848.0M | 2 |
| FY2012 | $57.9M | 1 |
| FY2013 | $66.2M | 1 |
| FY2015 | $38.5M | 4 |
| FY2016 | $252.3M | 4 |
| FY2017 | $12.3M | 2 |
| FY2018 | $906.8M | 9 |
| FY2019 | $104.5M | 9 |
| FY2020 | $220.8M | 12 |
| FY2021 | $123.7M | 13 |
| FY2022 | $106.1M | 11 |
| FY2023 | $233.6M | 13 |
| FY2024 | $105.6M | 9 |
| FY2025 | $146.0M | 7 |
| FY2026 | $10.8M | 1 |
Recent awards
| Start | Amount | Agency | NAICS |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-14 | $10.8M | National Aeronautics and Space Administration | 541715 |
| 2025-08-01 | $11.8M | Department of Defense | 541715 |
| 2025-07-29 | $2.0M | Department of Defense | 334220 |
| 2025-04-25 | $989K | Department of Defense | 541715 |
| 2025-03-26 | $4.7M | Department of Defense | 334220 |
| 2025-03-10 | $20.2M | Department of Defense | 541715 |
| 2025-02-24 | $103.4M | National Aeronautics and Space Administration | 336414 |
| 2024-12-17 | $3.0M | Department of Defense | 541715 |
Largest single award: $529.3M from Department of Defense (2017-11-15).
How to read these scores. Cassandra computes leading-indicator signals strictly from public federal award history (USAspending.gov) and public SEC filings (EDGAR). Scores are pattern-based and probabilistic — they describe profiles that historically correlate with acquisitions and major corporate events. They are not predictions of certainty, not insider or material non-public information (MNPI), and not investment advice. Do your own diligence.