Contractor signal profile
GARDAWORLD FEDERAL SERVICES LLC
Acquisition-signal score 77 / 100 — High signal. Pattern-based, from public award history.
Lifetime obligations
$2.00B
Velocity (YoY)
2589%
Agencies served
5
Obligation trajectory
Why this score
+30
award_velocity
Award obligations are ramping fast — most-recent FY $313.4M vs prior $11.7M (2589% YoY, 6% multi-yr CAGR). Rapid, proven backlog growth is the classic profile PE/strategic acquirers target.
+12
recent_large_win
2 large award(s) ≥$5M in the last ~2 FYs (top: $647.3M, Department of State). Fresh strategic wins de-risk the pipeline for an acquirer.
+15
hot_naics_concentration
Concentrated in a thematically hot lane: Facilities / support services (roll-up favorite) (70% of awards, NAICS 561612). Roll-up sponsors buy by theme; being squarely in the lane attracts inbound.
+12
customer_diversification
Revenue spread across 5 federal agencies while growing — diversified, de-risked backlog is the #1 valuation-multiple lever in govcon M&A.
+8
target_size_band
Lifetime obligations $2.00B — squarely in the small/mid tuck-in size band acquirers shop in.
Obligation trajectory (by federal FY)
| FY | Obligated | Awards |
|---|---|---|
| FY2011 | $140.1M | 1 |
| FY2016 | $57.7M | 2 |
| FY2017 | $789.5M | 6 |
| FY2018 | $13.5M | 2 |
| FY2019 | $32.1M | 3 |
| FY2020 | $73.3M | 7 |
| FY2021 | $43.9M | 4 |
| FY2022 | $26K | 2 |
| FY2023 | $467.1M | 4 |
| FY2024 | $53.3M | 3 |
| FY2025 | $11.7M | 5 |
| FY2026 | $313.4M | 1 |
Recent awards
| Start | Amount | Agency | NAICS |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-06 | $313.4M | Department of Homeland Security | 541614 |
| 2025-09-04 | $251K | Department of Defense | 722310 |
| 2025-06-16 | $1K | Department of Defense | 561612 |
| 2025-05-17 | $250 | Department of Homeland Security | 561612 |
| 2025-03-31 | $11.4M | Department of State | 561612 |
| 2025-03-14 | $500 | Department of Defense | 541614 |
| 2024-09-30 | $180K | Department of Defense | 561612 |
| 2024-05-27 | $114K | Department of Defense | 611519 |
Largest single award: $647.3M from Department of State (2017-09-29).
How to read these scores. Cassandra computes leading-indicator signals strictly from public federal award history (USAspending.gov) and public SEC filings (EDGAR). Scores are pattern-based and probabilistic — they describe profiles that historically correlate with acquisitions and major corporate events. They are not predictions of certainty, not insider or material non-public information (MNPI), and not investment advice. Do your own diligence.